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Combined probability
Lesson 67 of 75
Easy practice

Independent events

Objective. Multiply probabilities along independent branches.

  1. 1. Learn
  2. 2. Worked example
  3. 3. Practice
  4. 4. Feedback
  5. 5. Continue

Learn: the key idea

Independent events are events where the outcome of one does not affect the probability of the other, such as flipping a coin twice or rolling two separate dice. For independent events, the probability of both happening together is found by multiplying their individual probabilities, written P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B). For example, the probability of rolling a 6 on a die and then flipping heads on a coin is (1/6) × (1/2) = 1/12, since the die roll does not influence the coin flip. Recognising independence is essential before applying this multiplication rule, since dependent events require adjusted probabilities for the second event.

Worked example

A fair coin is flipped and a fair six-sided die is rolled. Find the probability of getting tails on the coin and a 4 on the die, as these are independent events.

4
Illustrated card showing 4
  1. 1Identify the individual probabilities: P(tails) = 1/2 and P(4) = 1/6.
  2. 2Since the events are independent, multiply the probabilities.
  3. 3Substitute: 1/2 × 1/6.
  4. 41/2 × 1/6 = 1/12.

Answer: 1/12

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Common mistake. Pupils sometimes add the probabilities of two independent events instead of multiplying them, treating the combined 'and' event the same as an 'or' event. Always multiply probabilities for independent events occurring together.

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