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The normal distribution
Lesson 50 of 75
Review

Normal approximation to binomial

Objective. Apply continuity corrections and assess conditions.

  1. 1. Learn
  2. 2. Worked example
  3. 3. Practice
  4. 4. Feedback
  5. 5. Continue

Learn: the key idea

The normal approximation to the binomial distribution replaces X ~ B(n,p) with Y ~ N(np, np(1−p)) when n is large and p is not too close to 0 or 1, typically checked using np > 5 and n(1−p) > 5. A continuity correction adjusts for the discrete-to-continuous switch, such as using x+0.5 for P(X ≤ x). For X ~ B(100, 0.5), the approximation is N(50, 25), and P(X ≤ 45) becomes P(Y < 45.5) after correction. Always apply the correct direction of continuity correction based on the inequality in the original probability.

Worked example

Use the normal approximation to binomial for X ~ B(200, 0.4) to estimate P(X ≤ 70), given Φ(−1.09) = 0.1379.

09) = 0
Illustrated card showing 09) = 0
  1. 1Find np = 80 and np(1−p) = 48, so Y ~ N(80, 48)
  2. 2Apply continuity correction: P(X ≤ 70) ≈ P(Y < 70.5)
  3. 3Standardise: z = (70.5−80)/√48 = −1.09
  4. 4Use Φ(−1.09) = 0.1379 as the probability

Answer: 0.1379

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Common mistake. A common mistake is omitting the continuity correction entirely, using P(Y < 45) instead of P(Y < 45.5) for P(X ≤ 45). Always adjust by 0.5 in the direction that includes the boundary value being approximated.

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