Normal approximation to binomial
Objective. Apply continuity corrections and assess conditions.
- 1. Learn
- 2. Worked example
- 3. Practice
- 4. Feedback
- 5. Continue
Learn: the key idea
The normal approximation to the binomial distribution replaces X ~ B(n,p) with Y ~ N(np, np(1−p)) when n is large and p is not too close to 0 or 1, typically checked using np > 5 and n(1−p) > 5. A continuity correction adjusts for the discrete-to-continuous switch, such as using x+0.5 for P(X ≤ x). For X ~ B(100, 0.5), the approximation is N(50, 25), and P(X ≤ 45) becomes P(Y < 45.5) after correction. Always apply the correct direction of continuity correction based on the inequality in the original probability.
Worked example
Use the normal approximation to binomial for X ~ B(200, 0.4) to estimate P(X ≤ 70), given Φ(−1.09) = 0.1379.
- 1Find np = 80 and np(1−p) = 48, so Y ~ N(80, 48)
- 2Apply continuity correction: P(X ≤ 70) ≈ P(Y < 70.5)
- 3Standardise: z = (70.5−80)/√48 = −1.09
- 4Use Φ(−1.09) = 0.1379 as the probability
Answer: 0.1379
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Start practisingCommon mistake. A common mistake is omitting the continuity correction entirely, using P(Y < 45) instead of P(Y < 45.5) for P(X ≤ 45). Always adjust by 0.5 in the direction that includes the boundary value being approximated.
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