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Statistical inference
Lesson 40 of 75
Review

Multiple regression

Objective. Fit, interpret and diagnose multivariable linear models.

  1. 1. Learn
  2. 2. Worked example
  3. 3. Practice
  4. 4. Feedback
  5. 5. Continue

Learn: the key idea

Multiple regression models a response variable y as a linear combination of several predictors, y = β0 + β1x1 + ... + βpxp + ε, with coefficients estimated by least squares to minimise the sum of squared residuals. Interpreting β_j requires holding other predictors fixed, and diagnostics such as residual plots check for non-linearity or non-constant variance, while variance inflation factors detect multicollinearity among predictors. For a model with two correlated predictors, high multicollinearity can inflate standard errors even if the overall fit remains good.

Worked example

In a multiple regression model, ŷ = 5 + 2x1 − 3x2, predict ŷ when x1 = 4 and x2 = 1.

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Bar chart of the values 5, 2, 1, 3, 2, 1, 4, 2
  1. 1Substitute x1 = 4 into the term 2x1 to get 8
  2. 2Substitute x2 = 1 into the term −3x2 to get −3
  3. 3Sum with the intercept: 5 + 8 − 3
  4. 4Simplify to the predicted value

Answer: ŷ = 10

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Practice

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Common mistake. A common error is interpreting a regression coefficient as the total effect of a predictor while ignoring that it only represents the effect holding all other predictors constant. Always state coefficient interpretations conditional on the other variables in the model.

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