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Probability II
Lesson 35 of 75
Review

Central limit theorem

Objective. Standardise sums and assess normal approximations.

  1. 1. Learn
  2. 2. Worked example
  3. 3. Practice
  4. 4. Feedback
  5. 5. Continue

Learn: the key idea

The central limit theorem states that the standardised sum of many independent identically distributed variables with finite variance approaches a standard normal distribution, regardless of the original distribution's shape. For X1,...,Xn with mean μ and variance σ², the standardised sum Z = (X̄n − μ)/(σ/√n) converges in distribution to N(0,1) as n → ∞. This justifies approximating sums or averages of many small independent effects, such as measurement errors, by a normal distribution even when individual terms are far from normal.

Worked example

Using the central limit theorem, find the approximate standardised value of a sample mean X̄n with n = 100, population mean μ = 50, variance σ² = 25, when X̄n = 51.

100502551
Bar chart of the values 100, 50, 25, 51
  1. 1Identify σ = √25 = 5 and n = 100
  2. 2Compute the standard error σ/√n = 5/10 = 0.5
  3. 3Apply Z = (X̄n − μ)/(σ/√n) = (51−50)/0.5
  4. 4Simplify the standardised value

Answer: Z = 2

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Common mistake. Students often apply the normal approximation with too small a sample size or ignore the need for finite variance, assuming the theorem always applies exactly. Treat the result as an approximation that improves as n grows, not an exact statement for small n.

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